the rivals will have fancy clothes, it must have activated today 
prototype hunter had this
The fancy bow tie, and fancy earrings both do not belong to the Fancy set (anniversary). You can find those all year around. However, If you find Fancy Updo, Fancy Blouse with Fur Scarf, Fancy Suit Pants, Fancy High Heels though, that would indicate the Fancy set is indeed active.
Do you remember what machine gave you the bowtie?